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Tug of War: China’s Momentum Clashes with Slowing Bitcoin and S&P 500

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Traders Weigh China’s Comeback Against Cooling Crypto and a Hesitant U.S. Rally

Markets are off to a cautious start this week. The S&P 500 is holding near record highs, but momentum is slowing. Bitcoin is pulling back after a strong run, while Chinese stocks are surging—stealing the spotlight thanks to fresh optimism from Beijing.

Let’s break it down:


Key Headlines from Glideslope.ai

Today’s headlines are powered by Glideslope.ai, your source for AI-powered market news and analysis.

What’s Moving the Market:

  • Xi Jinping Meets Entrepreneurs Amid Economic Pressure
    China’s President met with top business leaders, signaling a possible shift toward more business-friendly policies as the country deals with slowing growth.
  • Walmart’s Rally Faces High Bar
    The stock keeps climbing, but analysts warn that expectations might be getting too high. A slip-up could trigger a pullback.
  • Trump Trades Losing Steam, China Stocks Surge
    Trades that soared after Trump’s election—like the dollar and Bitcoin—are cooling off. Meanwhile, Chinese stocks are heating up.
  • Intel’s Rally Under the Microscope
    After a strong run, investors are wondering if there’s more upside or if it’s time to lock in profits.

How’s the Market Reacting?

S&P 500

The S&P 500 (SPY) is around $609.70, barely down from Friday.

  • Support: $605 looks like the floor for now.
  • Resistance: $611 is capping the upside.
  • If the index can break above $611, we could see another leg higher. A dip under $605 might mean more selling ahead.

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin is trading near $96,200, down about 1%.

  • Support: $95,000 is key support.
  • Resistance: $98,000 is the ceiling for now.
  • Bitcoin’s still up big this year, but some profit-taking is creeping in.

Earnings to Watch This Week

  • Key Earnings Reports This Week
  • Tuesday, February 18:
    • Arista Networks (ANET): A key player in cloud networking solutions, Arista’s performance will offer insights into enterprise demand and data center expansions.
    • Devon Energy (DVN): As an independent energy company, Devon’s results will reflect the current state of the energy sector amid fluctuating oil prices.
  • Wednesday, February 19:
    • Analog Devices (ADI): A significant entity in the semiconductor industry, Analog Devices’ earnings will shed light on the broader chip market trends.
    • Garmin (GRMN): Known for its GPS technology, Garmin’s report will provide updates on consumer electronics demand.
  • Thursday, February 20:
    • Walmart (WMT): As the world’s largest retailer, Walmart’s earnings are a barometer for consumer spending and retail health.
    • Alibaba Group (BABA): This Chinese e-commerce giant’s performance will offer perspectives on China’s consumer market and international trade dynamics.
    • Booking Holdings (BKNG): A leader in online travel services, Booking’s results will indicate trends in the travel and hospitality sectors.

Key Economic Reports

  • FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) – Could give clues on future interest rate cuts.
  • U.S. Jobless Claims (Thursday) – A weekly pulse check on the labor market.
  • Existing Home Sales (Thursday) – Housing data has been shaky—this could move mortgage rates.
  • S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Friday) – A read on factory activity and supply chains.

Sentiment Check

Markets feel… nervous but not panicked.

  • Investors are bullish on AI and big tech, but stretched valuations are making people jittery.
  • China’s bounce is lifting sentiment globally, but U.S. traders are wary of Fed policy staying tighter for longer.

5 Big Stories to Watch

  1. Xi’s Economic Moves – Will China follow through with stimulus or deregulation?
  2. Walmart & Nvidia Earnings – Two giants setting the tone for retail and tech.
  3. FOMC Minutes – Any hint that rate cuts are closer could spark a rally.
  4. Bitcoin Volatility – Watch that $95K level—another break lower could rattle crypto.
  5. Housing Data – Weak numbers could renew recession fears, while strength might pressure the Fed to hold rates.

Wrap Up

It’s a classic “wait-and-see” week. China is showing signs of life, but the Fed and earnings could easily shake things up.
For real-time market analysis and sentiment tracking, head to Glideslope.ai and Fraywire.com.

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