There’s lots of uncertainty clouding the markets right now – which way is inflation going? Will there be more war effecting supply chains? But for day traders looking for quick opportunities to enter and exit the market, carefully watching daily RSI levels and catching small rallies on the way down could be profitable. This was a good week for equities – crypto was late to the game but made a debut last night. The real question is whether or not assets can hold or breakout in price.
Stocks are poised to end on a good note this week, but I’m still not too optimistic long-term.
The S&P 500 continues to follow the black trendline down. We’ve tested that resistance line on 4 separate days in August. We’ll probably see a continued rally from the larger dip on August 26, but any significant breakout from resistance is improbable unless some better news comes out .
Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August 2022 comes out next week on Tuesday, September 13. It’s likely that inflation rates are decreasing but Jerome Powell is adamant about bringing that number lower to 2% – another 75 basis point increase in interest rates is expected when the Fed meets later this month on the 20th and 21st. I would expect another short-lived market rally if CPI is down on Tuesday.
Following along with the equity rally we’ve been seeing, Bitcoin price shot up close to 10% last night.
What seemed like a bear pennant poised to go lower at first turned into a fakeout. Buys shook out shorts and Bitcoin is sitting back at ~$21,000 as of this morning.
Yesterday I posted my first podcast episode for The Rebel Economist that you can find here on YouTube where I discussed a case for the Bitcoin bottom and how we’ve entered an accumulation phase in this bear market.
The correlation in price action between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin is hard to ignore. The S&P rallied yesterday and pre-markets this morning are looking good, so it’s no coincidence that Bitcoin is following in suit.
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